Saturday, May 17, 2014

General Motors: Recalls ‘Have Not Hurt, Could Even Help,’ JPMorgan Says

Yesterday, RBC’s Joseph Spak worried that General Motors’ (GM) latest recall would dampen enthusiasm for the automaker’s shares. JPMorgan’s Ryan Brinkman and team look at the bright side:

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Thus far, it appears recalls have not hurt – and could even help – GM sales and market share. GM gained retail share y/y in March and was the greatest sequential gainer in April. In 1Q, GM announced recalls impacting 7 mn vehicles at a cost of $1.3 bn (or ~$186 per potential customer traffic). This compares to Thursday's recalls impacting 3 mn vehicles at a cost of $0.2 bn (or ~$67 per customer) and GM's recent marketing campaign promising $100 for test-driving a Cadillac.

Investors are having none of it today. Shares of General Motors have dropped 0.8% to $34.10 at 1:50 p.m. today, even as Ford Motor (F) has gained 0.7% to $15.80.

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