Friday, June 21, 2013

Is Buying Microsoft Stock a Smart Health Care Play?

With health care comprising close to one-fifth of U.S. GDP, the industry's tentacles spread far and wide. Just as many companies that weren't considered technology companies in the past have essentially become technology companies, I think quite a few organizations that wouldn't typically be called health care companies qualify at least in part these days. Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT  ) , for example, falls in that group. But would buying Microsoft stock as a health care investment be smart? Let's take a look.

Window dressing?
Read through Microsoft's latest 10-K and 10-Q reports filed with the SEC. You'll find the same number of references to health care as you'll find animated paper clips in the company's products these days. (That would be zero, by the way.)

Microsoft's HealthVault is alive and kicking, unlike Google's abandoned personal health record offering. However, it seems likely that revenue generated from HealthVault amounts to nothing more than a rounding error for Microsoft's accountants.

If you check out Microsoft's website, you can find plenty of information about its products for health care. However, those products look strikingly similar to the company's products for the other 18 industry groups listed. That's because they are the same products used for those other industries.

On that same site, Microsoft uses the first person "we" in talking about the "health industry." The company presents itself as being part of health care, but is that just window dressing? Actually, I don't think so.

First, while the company doesn't report how much of its revenue stems from health care customers, my hunch is that it's a significant amount. Hospitals, physician clinics, skilled nursing providers, pharmaceutical companies, medical device makers, and many other health care organizations across the world use Microsoft's operating system, productivity applications, business intelligence software, database servers, and network servers.

I also suspect the revenue from health care is growing solidly. Microsoft general manager Craig Hodges stated earlier this year that no other industry is positioned to be as big in "big data" as health care. And that's big business that Microsoft is eyeing.

Blue chips ahoy
Perhaps one of the most telling signs of the importance to health care for Microsoft is that it has gotten out of health care -- sort of. Last year, the company joined forces with GE's (NYSE: GE  ) health care business unit in a 50-50 joint venture named Caradigm. Former Microsoft Health platform founder and current Avado.com CEO Dave Chase speculated that this move stemmed from Microsoft's desire to avoid upsetting large health care customers who could feel threatened by products developed by Microsoft.

If so, Caradigm could be a good way for Microsoft to have its cake and eat it, too. The joint venture combined two Microsoft products -- the Amalga health intelligence platform and Vergence single-sign-on and and context management solution -- along with GE Healthcare's eHealth health information exchange product and Qualibria clinical application.

While it's still a young enterprise, Caradigm has already seen some successes. The company announced recently that it reached the milestone of 1 million caregivers using its identity and access management solutions. Caradigm also entered the United Kingdom market in April. 

Foolish take
Microsoft should be in position to benefit from the expansion of technology in health care. Its joint venture with GE Healthcare enables the company to profit from new products while not alienating existing and new core customers. I think Microsoft stock could reasonably be viewed as a quasi-health care investment.

That doesn't necessarily make it a smart health care play, though. On the positive side, there's a nice 2.7% dividend and nearly $74 billion of cash and cash equivalents. On the negative side, the stock is near its five-year high with analysts projecting single-digit revenue growth over the next few years. My view is that there are better choices right now than buying Microsoft stock -- as a health care investment or otherwise.  

The last several years have been a frustrating path for Microsoft investors, who've watched the company fail to capitalize on the incredible growth in mobile over the past decade. However, with the release of its own tablet, along with the widely anticipated Windows 8 operating system, the company is looking to make a splash in this booming market. In a new premium report on Microsoft, a Motley Fool analyst explains that while the opportunity is huge, so are the challenges. The report includes regular updates as key events occur, so make sure to claim a copy of this report now by clicking here.

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